Open-world forecast
Spark
Ask any question, get a calibrated probability with the full reasoning behind it. Via web or API.
- Any question, any domain
- Full evidence trail and reasoning trace
- Web dashboard + API access
A new forecasting paradigm
The only AI to surpass
human superforecasters
Uncertainty is expensive. We make it measurable.
+12%vs Next-Best AI
+7%vs Market Consensus
+4%vs Superforecasters
Performance
Best-in-class on benchmarks
and live markets
ForecastBench
TorchcastBest-in-class
Human Superforecasters4% behind
Best Public AI System12% behind
Live Prediction Markets
TorchcastBest-in-class
Market Consensus7% behind
Next-Best AI System25% behind
Why It Works
Purpose-built to forecast
Ask a general-purpose LLM, you'll get a confident guess.
Ask Torchcast, you'll get a calibrated probability with full reasoning.
Structured Intelligence Gathering
RL-Trained Forecasting LLM
The Product
From instant answers to fully custom models
Enterprise access
Forecasting infrastructure for enterprise teams
Work with Torchcast on private access, operational integrations, and forecasting workflows built around your highest-stakes decisions.
Early Access
We are selecting a small number of design partners
If your team makes high-stakes decisions under uncertainty, we should talk.
Get in Touch