Latest from Torchcast
The position was there before the headline: Moderna and the Torchcast Growth portfolio
Moderna ($MRNA) was the #1-ranked name at the inception of Torchcast's published live Growth portfolio on July 27 — selected mechanically, weeks before the August 19 Intismeran Phase 3 readout repriced the stock. Performance figures as of the August 19 close.
Torchcast holds the top three AI positions on the ForecastBench Tournament
After the 50-day waiting period, all three Torchcast submissions entered the full ForecastBench Tournament leaderboard — and still hold the top three AI positions, ahead of every other AI system evaluated.
Introducing FFM: A Foundation Model for Forecasting
Torchcast is announcing the Forecasting Foundation Model (FFM), a research program focused on learning representations optimized for forecasting from heterogeneous evidence.
Nano: forecasting that survives smaller models
We resubmitted Torchcast to ForecastBench with materially smaller models. The three Nano configurations finished 1–2–3 in their round — evidence the forecasting judgment survives weaker underlying models.
Torchcast sweeps the top three on ForecastBench
On its first submission, Torchcast's three models took the whole podium on the ForecastBench preliminary dataset leaderboard, ahead of every frontier lab and human superforecasters.